Despite heavy investment in semiconductor manufacturing, Europe's technological sovereignty ambitions will make little progress by 2030, with major economies like Germany, France, and the UK improving their tech sovereignty scores by only a couple of percentage points, according to Forrester. The continent remains deeply dependent on US cloud giants — AWS, Azure, and Google Cloud control around 65% of the European market — and "sovereign cloud" offerings from these providers don't truly resolve the issue, as the companies remain US-owned. Rather than pursuing full self-sufficiency, Forrester advises nations to accept unavoidable dependencies and focus on managing them through alliances, open technologies, and targeted investment.
