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capex2 articles

The Tokenpocalypse Is Here, and a Neanderthal Saw It Coming

The article argues that AI's enormous and growing costs are creating serious economic strain, as demonstrated by quirky cost-cutting measures like "Caveman" — a tool that strips Claude's output down to primitive language to reduce token usage. The author draws parallels to historical technology investment bubbles (canals, railways, electrification), warning that AI's voracious consumption of capital, energy, and resources is distorting broader tech and memory markets without yet delivering sustainable profits. Using Douglas Adams' "Shoe Event Horizon" as a metaphor, the piece concludes that AI companies are in a race to prove profitability before investor confidence collapses, with no clear end in sight.

11 Jul 2026

Google I/O 2026: Quadrillions of Tokens, Billions in Capex, and an Agent That Plans Your Block Party

At Google I/O 2026, CEO Sundar Pichai highlighted the company's massive AI infrastructure growth, noting token processing has surged to 3.2 quadrillion per month, supported by a capital expenditure budget of approximately $180–190 billion for the year. Google announced several new AI products, including Gemini 3.5 Flash (a faster, cheaper frontier model), Gemini Omni (a multimodal model combining video, image, and physics simulation), and Gemini Spark (a 24/7 personal AI agent capable of handling background tasks). The company also expanded its AI watermarking technology SynthID and deepened AI integration across Search, Chrome, and its app ecosystem, signalling an aggressive push toward always-on, agentic AI experiences.

24 May 2026